000 WTNT80 EGRR 091737 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.11.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.7N 108.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.11.2016 13.7N 108.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.11.2016 14.5N 109.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.11.2016 15.8N 109.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.11.2016 16.4N 109.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2016 18.0N 107.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.11.2016 19.7N 107.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 20.6N 107.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 21.2N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 21.7N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2016 22.0N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.6N 129.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.11.2016 10.6N 129.2W WEAK 12UTC 12.11.2016 10.5N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2016 10.5N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.11.2016 10.5N 127.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 10.4N 127.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 10.5N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 11.0N 127.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2016 11.1N 128.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.7N 119.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.11.2016 12.7N 119.7W WEAK 00UTC 13.11.2016 12.9N 119.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.11.2016 12.4N 119.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 13.1N 119.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 14.0N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 15.2N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2016 16.1N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 34.1N 75.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.11.2016 36.3N 74.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2016 39.1N 72.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091737