000 WTNT80 EGRR 090418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.11.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.5N 108.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.11.2016 15.2N 108.3W WEAK 00UTC 12.11.2016 16.1N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.11.2016 17.8N 108.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2016 19.1N 108.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.11.2016 20.4N 107.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 21.7N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 22.5N 106.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 22.7N 106.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.2N 128.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.11.2016 10.2N 128.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.11.2016 10.3N 127.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 10.8N 127.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 11.3N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 11.8N 129.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.9N 118.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.11.2016 13.4N 118.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2016 13.2N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2016 14.1N 118.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2016 14.9N 119.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 32.9N 77.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.11.2016 34.2N 76.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090418