000
WTNT80 EGRR 021618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.11.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 23.0N  53.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.11.2016  24.0N  51.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2016  27.8N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2016  31.9N  45.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2016  36.3N  45.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2016  37.4N  44.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2016  39.7N  42.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2016  42.0N  39.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.11.2016  45.0N  36.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.11.2016  48.9N  32.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.0N 103.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2016  12.0N 103.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.11.2016  12.8N 106.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2016  13.7N 109.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2016  13.9N 112.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2016  14.3N 114.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2016  14.5N 115.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 36.6N  62.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.11.2016  38.1N  59.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 35.7N  50.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.11.2016  35.7N  50.9W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021618