000 WTNT80 EGRR 011618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.11.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 22.4N 52.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.11.2016 22.4N 52.9W WEAK 12UTC 03.11.2016 24.2N 50.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.11.2016 26.5N 47.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2016 29.4N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.11.2016 32.7N 40.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.11.2016 36.8N 41.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.11.2016 37.8N 43.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.11.2016 38.0N 42.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.11.2016 38.5N 40.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.11.2016 39.8N 39.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.3N 105.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.11.2016 12.6N 107.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.11.2016 12.9N 110.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.11.2016 13.1N 113.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2016 13.4N 116.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 26.1N 62.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.11.2016 26.1N 62.5W WEAK 00UTC 07.11.2016 27.8N 60.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2016 31.6N 57.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011618