000
WTNT80 EGRR 010418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.11.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 30.5N  44.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.11.2016  31.4N  42.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2016  34.4N  41.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2016  36.3N  41.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2016  36.2N  42.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2016  35.3N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.6N 104.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2016  12.7N 106.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2016  13.2N 109.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2016  13.8N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 25.2N  63.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2016  27.1N  61.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2016  30.3N  58.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2016  33.5N  55.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010418