000
WTNT80 EGRR 301618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.10.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 33.2N  50.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2016  33.2N  50.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.11.2016  39.2N  52.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.11.2016  43.1N  56.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2016  42.0N  56.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2016  44.6N  53.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2016  45.8N  51.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 25.4N  51.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.11.2016  26.3N  49.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.11.2016  29.9N  46.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2016  33.3N  43.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2016  36.7N  42.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 301618