000
WTNT80 EGRR 230418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.10.2016

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.0N 128.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.10.2016  11.0N 128.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.10.2016  12.9N 127.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2016  14.3N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2016  14.6N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016  14.5N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2016  13.9N 126.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2016  13.3N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2016  13.3N 125.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2016  14.1N 125.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2016  14.6N 125.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 15.4N 107.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2016  15.3N 108.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2016  16.4N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016  17.6N 114.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.10.2016  18.7N 116.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2016  20.0N 117.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2016  21.6N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2016  23.1N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2016  25.0N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 :  9.0N 159.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2016   9.0N 159.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 24.10.2016   9.2N 160.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016   9.7N 162.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2016  10.5N 164.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2016  10.5N 166.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 230418