000 WTNT80 EGRR 211618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.10.2016 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 29.4N 72.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.10.2016 29.4N 72.6W MODERATE 00UTC 22.10.2016 32.1N 71.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2016 37.8N 66.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2016 45.6N 61.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2016 51.4N 53.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.4N 113.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2016 13.4N 113.9W WEAK 12UTC 22.10.2016 14.1N 113.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2016 15.0N 114.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2016 15.9N 114.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.8N 128.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2016 11.8N 128.9W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2016 12.6N 128.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2016 13.5N 127.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2016 14.6N 126.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.7N 105.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2016 12.7N 105.0W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2016 14.2N 107.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2016 15.2N 109.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2016 16.6N 111.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.10.2016 18.4N 113.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.10.2016 20.3N 115.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2016 21.7N 116.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.10.2016 23.0N 116.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2016 23.9N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2016 25.3N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211618