000
WHXX01 KMIA 121246
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1246 UTC WED OCT 12 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992016) 20161012 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161012  1200   161013  0000   161013  1200   161014  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N 106.6W   12.8N 109.5W   13.4N 112.1W   13.8N 114.7W
BAMD    11.8N 106.6W   12.7N 109.7W   13.3N 112.3W   14.0N 114.8W
BAMM    11.8N 106.6W   12.8N 109.2W   13.6N 111.6W   14.2N 113.8W
LBAR    11.8N 106.6W   12.7N 110.2W   13.7N 113.8W   14.8N 117.2W
SHIP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          42KTS
DSHP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161014  1200   161015  1200   161016  1200   161017  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.3N 117.4W   15.1N 122.4W   15.3N 126.9W   15.3N 131.9W
BAMD    14.6N 116.9W   15.4N 120.2W   15.1N 122.1W   14.3N 123.1W
BAMM    14.7N 116.1W   15.3N 120.0W   14.8N 123.3W   14.1N 126.4W
LBAR    16.0N 120.3W   18.1N 124.5W   18.4N 126.9W   17.7N 128.4W
SHIP        47KTS          49KTS          41KTS          37KTS
DSHP        47KTS          49KTS          41KTS          37KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.8N LONCUR = 106.6W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  11.1N LONM12 = 102.8W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  10.9N LONM24 = 100.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  240NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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