000
WHXX01 KWBC 041450
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1450 UTC TUE OCT 4 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE NICOLE (AL152016) 20161004 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161004  1200   161005  0000   161005  1200   161006  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.5N  60.0W   24.7N  61.7W   26.1N  63.6W   27.8N  65.5W
BAMD    23.5N  60.0W   23.7N  60.7W   23.9N  61.9W   24.2N  63.3W
BAMM    23.5N  60.0W   24.2N  61.4W   25.2N  63.2W   26.4N  64.9W
LBAR    23.5N  60.0W   24.3N  60.7W   24.9N  61.7W   25.7N  62.8W
SHIP        45KTS          50KTS          48KTS          45KTS
DSHP        45KTS          50KTS          48KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161006  1200   161007  1200   161008  1200   161009  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.4N  66.8W   31.0N  68.0W   32.9N  70.4W   39.2N  70.9W
BAMD    24.4N  64.9W   24.5N  68.1W   24.3N  71.5W   24.1N  73.7W
BAMM    27.7N  66.5W   29.3N  67.9W   29.8N  68.7W   31.8N  67.4W
LBAR    26.4N  63.8W   26.6N  65.1W   25.9N  66.3W   25.3N  67.3W
SHIP        42KTS          32KTS          18KTS           0KTS
DSHP        42KTS          32KTS          18KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.5N LONCUR =  60.0W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  23.0N LONM12 =  59.2W DIRM12 = 299DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  22.6N LONM24 =  58.1W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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