000
WTNT80 EGRR 040418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.10.2016

             HURRICANE MATTHEW    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N  74.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2016  16.6N  74.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 04.10.2016  18.2N  74.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2016  20.0N  73.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2016  21.7N  74.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2016  23.2N  76.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2016  24.9N  77.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2016  26.7N  79.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2016  28.9N  80.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2016  31.5N  81.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2016  33.9N  80.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.10.2016  37.3N  76.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2016  41.7N  72.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2016  46.0N  66.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 23.2N  60.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.10.2016  23.8N  60.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.10.2016  24.6N  61.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2016  25.8N  63.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2016  27.4N  64.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2016  28.8N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2016  29.3N  64.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2016  28.6N  64.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2016  27.5N  63.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2016  26.7N  63.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2016  26.6N  63.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2016  26.9N  65.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2016  26.3N  67.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.5N 118.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.10.2016  13.4N 118.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2016  14.4N 120.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040418