000
WTNT80 EGRR 030418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.10.2016

             HURRICANE MATTHEW    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N  74.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.10.2016  14.4N  74.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 03.10.2016  15.3N  74.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2016  16.9N  74.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2016  18.9N  74.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2016  20.9N  74.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2016  22.4N  74.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2016  23.9N  75.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2016  25.3N  75.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2016  27.0N  76.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2016  28.8N  77.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.10.2016  30.7N  78.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2016  32.6N  78.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2016  35.1N  76.6W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 31.5N  58.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2016  32.0N  57.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2016  31.9N  59.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2016  31.1N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030418