000
WTNT80 EGRR 290418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.09.2016

        TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW    ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N  62.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2016  13.7N  62.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.09.2016  14.2N  65.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2016  14.2N  67.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2016  13.6N  69.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2016  13.2N  70.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2016  13.2N  70.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2016  13.6N  71.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2016  14.3N  71.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2016  15.5N  72.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2016  16.8N  71.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2016  18.7N  72.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.10.2016  20.0N  71.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2016  20.6N  71.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN     ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 115.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2016  22.0N 115.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.09.2016  22.8N 115.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ULIKA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 138.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2016  15.6N 138.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.09.2016  16.4N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2016  16.9N 140.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2016  17.3N 141.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2016  17.5N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2016  17.0N 144.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 15.7N  42.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.10.2016  15.7N  42.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.10.2016  15.9N  44.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290418