000
WHXX01 KMIA 171306
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1306 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP932016) 20160917 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        160917  1200   160918  0000   160918  1200   160919  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N 106.7W   14.7N 108.2W   16.4N 109.9W   18.4N 111.9W
BAMD    13.6N 106.7W   14.7N 108.7W   16.1N 110.6W   17.7N 112.6W
BAMM    13.6N 106.7W   14.9N 108.2W   16.6N 110.0W   18.5N 112.0W
LBAR    13.6N 106.7W   14.5N 108.7W   16.1N 111.2W   17.4N 113.6W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          34KTS          42KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          34KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        160919  1200   160920  1200   160921  1200   160922  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.3N 113.9W   25.1N 116.8W   29.0N 117.3W   31.3N 115.7W
BAMD    19.6N 114.4W   24.6N 116.6W   29.1N 114.8W   32.7N 110.2W
BAMM    20.5N 114.0W   25.6N 116.4W   29.6N 115.2W   33.4N 111.7W
LBAR    19.2N 116.0W   23.7N 119.8W   29.0N 120.2W   33.6N 114.0W
SHIP        48KTS          46KTS          32KTS          19KTS
DSHP        48KTS          46KTS          32KTS          19KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.6N LONCUR = 106.7W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 = 105.3W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  12.5N LONM24 = 105.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  170NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN