000 WHXX01 KMIA 150038 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0038 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP932016) 20160915 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 160915 0000 160915 1200 160916 0000 160916 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.5N 102.5W 12.8N 104.3W 13.2N 105.8W 13.4N 107.2W BAMD 12.5N 102.5W 12.6N 104.6W 12.8N 106.5W 13.0N 108.4W BAMM 12.5N 102.5W 12.6N 104.2W 12.7N 105.9W 12.9N 107.5W LBAR 12.5N 102.5W 12.3N 104.5W 12.6N 106.8W 13.1N 109.4W SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 160917 0000 160918 0000 160919 0000 160920 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.6N 108.6W 13.7N 111.5W 14.6N 114.7W 15.5N 117.0W BAMD 13.3N 110.0W 14.2N 113.3W 15.4N 116.4W 17.1N 118.9W BAMM 13.1N 109.0W 13.8N 112.0W 14.9N 115.3W 16.1N 118.2W LBAR 13.7N 112.0W 15.5N 117.4W 17.0N 121.5W 17.5N 124.0W SHIP 41KTS 53KTS 60KTS 65KTS DSHP 41KTS 53KTS 60KTS 65KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.5N LONCUR = 102.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 12.5N LONM12 = 101.2W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 12.5N LONM24 = 100.3W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 90NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN