000
WTNT80 EGRR 101618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.09.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 12.3N 165.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2016  12.7N 166.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2016  13.5N 166.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2016  15.3N 166.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2016  16.5N 167.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  17.6N 168.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2016  18.4N 169.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2016  18.8N 170.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2016  18.8N 171.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2016  18.6N 173.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2016  18.3N 175.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2016  17.8N 177.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2016  17.5N 179.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.4N  45.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2016  14.4N  45.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.09.2016  16.7N  46.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2016  19.3N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2016  20.5N  49.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  22.0N  50.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2016  23.9N  52.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2016  26.0N  53.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2016  27.7N  53.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2016  29.5N  53.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2016  31.9N  53.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2016  35.5N  51.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2016  40.2N  48.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 14.9N 116.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2016  14.9N 116.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2016  16.4N 118.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2016  17.2N 119.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  18.1N 120.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2016  19.1N 119.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2016  20.0N 120.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2016  20.6N 120.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2016  20.5N 121.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2016  20.1N 123.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2016  19.7N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2016  19.4N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 13.2N  99.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2016  13.8N 101.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101618