000 WTNT80 EGRR 100418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.09.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 16.1N 45.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.09.2016 17.4N 46.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2016 19.2N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2016 20.3N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2016 22.0N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2016 23.3N 52.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2016 25.0N 53.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2016 27.2N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2016 28.9N 54.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2016 30.8N 54.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2016 33.4N 52.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.2N 116.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.09.2016 15.2N 116.3W WEAK 00UTC 12.09.2016 16.3N 118.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2016 16.9N 119.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2016 17.8N 120.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2016 18.9N 119.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2016 19.9N 119.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2016 20.2N 120.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2016 19.8N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2016 19.1N 122.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2016 18.4N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 16.1N 24.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2016 16.1N 24.6W WEAK 00UTC 13.09.2016 16.7N 26.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2016 18.0N 27.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2016 20.3N 29.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2016 22.8N 31.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2016 24.9N 34.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2016 26.0N 37.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2016 27.5N 40.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100418