000
WTNT80 EGRR 081618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.2N 148.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.09.2016  12.2N 148.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.09.2016  13.6N 150.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2016  15.2N 151.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2016  16.9N 151.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2016  18.5N 153.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2016  20.2N 154.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2016  21.5N 156.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  21.9N 157.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.5N  43.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2016  14.5N  43.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.09.2016  15.7N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2016  17.3N  46.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2016  19.0N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2016  21.1N  49.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  23.1N  51.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2016  25.0N  52.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2016  27.3N  53.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2016  30.4N  53.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 14.5N 167.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2016  14.9N 167.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2016  15.8N 168.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  16.9N 169.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 15.9N 121.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2016  15.9N 121.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.09.2016  16.5N 122.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2016  17.6N 122.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2016  18.6N 121.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2016  19.1N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2016  19.2N 121.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081618