000 WTNT80 EGRR 060418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.09.2016 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ANALYSED POSITION : 39.5N 70.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2016 39.5N 70.3W MODERATE 12UTC 06.09.2016 39.5N 71.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2016 38.9N 72.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2016 39.5N 72.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2016 40.0N 72.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2016 40.3N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N 165.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2016 30.5N 165.2W MODERATE 12UTC 06.09.2016 32.4N 166.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2016 34.2N 166.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2016 36.3N 165.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2016 39.2N 164.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2016 43.0N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE NEWTON ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 108.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2016 21.1N 108.5W STRONG 12UTC 06.09.2016 23.3N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2016 26.2N 111.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2016 29.2N 111.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2016 32.5N 108.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 13.6N 136.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2016 12.9N 136.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.09.2016 13.0N 135.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2016 12.5N 135.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2016 12.6N 135.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2016 12.6N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2016 13.3N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2016 14.1N 136.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2016 14.6N 136.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2016 15.2N 137.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2016 15.5N 137.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2016 15.8N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2016 16.4N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.4N 127.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2016 12.4N 127.1W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2016 12.6N 126.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2016 13.6N 125.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2016 15.2N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2016 16.8N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2016 18.2N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2016 18.6N 125.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2016 18.5N 125.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.9N 145.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2016 12.5N 145.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.09.2016 12.4N 146.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2016 13.0N 147.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2016 13.1N 148.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2016 13.9N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2016 14.5N 150.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2016 15.0N 151.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2016 15.0N 153.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2016 15.0N 153.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 14.5N 33.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2016 15.4N 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2016 17.0N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2016 18.3N 39.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2016 19.5N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2016 20.8N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2016 21.5N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.8N 117.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.09.2016 15.1N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2016 15.9N 119.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060418