000 WTNT80 EGRR 310418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N 75.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2016 34.3N 75.0W WEAK 12UTC 31.08.2016 34.8N 73.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 35.8N 71.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 37.6N 67.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 39.6N 62.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 32.7N 51.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2016 32.7N 51.6W MODERATE 12UTC 31.08.2016 34.0N 49.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 35.9N 46.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 37.8N 41.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 39.1N 36.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 40.0N 30.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 40.5N 26.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 41.9N 23.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 136.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2016 17.7N 136.0W MODERATE 12UTC 31.08.2016 17.5N 138.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 17.7N 140.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 18.0N 142.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 18.3N 144.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 18.6N 147.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 18.8N 149.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 19.0N 152.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 19.0N 154.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 19.5N 157.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 20.2N 159.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 20.2N 162.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 20.6N 163.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.2N 150.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2016 19.2N 150.0W MODERATE 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.8N 152.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 17.8N 154.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 16.8N 156.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 16.4N 158.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 16.4N 161.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 16.2N 163.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 15.9N 166.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 15.6N 169.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 15.4N 170.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 16.0N 171.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 16.7N 173.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 17.3N 174.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 24.0N 87.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2016 24.0N 87.8W WEAK 12UTC 31.08.2016 24.5N 88.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 25.2N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 26.3N 87.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 28.5N 85.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 31.3N 83.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 33.9N 79.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 36.1N 75.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 37.8N 71.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 38.9N 69.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 40.0N 68.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 41.4N 68.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 41.5N 67.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 35.4N 71.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2016 36.2N 68.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 36.6N 61.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 36.4N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 36.9N 48.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 36.8N 44.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 38.8N 35.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 43.5N 25.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 47.0N 19.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 17.7N 104.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2016 18.6N 105.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2016 19.2N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 19.1N 109.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 19.2N 110.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 19.5N 111.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 14.3N 124.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2016 14.8N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 15.3N 122.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2016 15.3N 120.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 15.9N 64.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2016 15.9N 64.3W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2016 16.9N 66.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 10.5N 144.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2016 10.5N 144.3W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310418