000 WTNT80 EGRR 301618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 34.0N 75.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2016 34.0N 75.2W WEAK 00UTC 31.08.2016 34.5N 75.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 35.4N 74.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 36.7N 72.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 38.4N 67.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 41.1N 60.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 43.9N 52.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 45.8N 47.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 48.9N 41.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 51.4N 39.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 04.09.2016 52.8N 37.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.09.2016 53.7N 34.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2016 54.7N 32.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N 53.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2016 32.2N 53.4W MODERATE 00UTC 31.08.2016 32.7N 51.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 33.9N 49.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 35.8N 46.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 37.5N 41.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 38.4N 36.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 38.3N 32.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 38.3N 30.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 39.1N 28.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 133.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2016 18.0N 133.6W MODERATE 00UTC 31.08.2016 18.0N 136.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 17.8N 138.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 17.8N 141.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 18.0N 143.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 18.5N 145.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 18.8N 147.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 19.1N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 19.4N 152.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 20.1N 155.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 20.7N 158.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 21.7N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 22.1N 163.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 147.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2016 19.3N 147.7W MODERATE 00UTC 31.08.2016 19.2N 150.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.8N 152.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 18.1N 154.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 17.6N 157.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 17.5N 160.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 17.2N 163.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 17.0N 166.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 16.8N 168.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 16.8N 171.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 16.3N 173.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 16.7N 175.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 17.1N 177.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 87.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2016 23.5N 87.1W WEAK 00UTC 31.08.2016 24.0N 87.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 25.0N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 25.8N 87.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 27.0N 87.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 28.9N 86.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 31.2N 83.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 33.6N 80.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 36.4N 77.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 38.1N 74.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 39.5N 74.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 39.1N 73.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2016 39.5N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 33.6N 76.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2016 33.6N 76.1W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2016 34.9N 71.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 35.6N 66.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 36.2N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 36.8N 52.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 37.7N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 38.6N 37.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 16.7N 104.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.09.2016 16.7N 104.9W WEAK 00UTC 04.09.2016 18.0N 105.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 19.1N 107.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 19.7N 109.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2016 20.1N 110.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 17.7N 64.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2016 17.9N 66.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301618