000 WTNT80 EGRR 291618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 32.6N 73.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2016 32.6N 73.2W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2016 33.2N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 33.9N 74.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 34.5N 75.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 35.4N 73.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 36.7N 71.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 38.6N 66.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 40.9N 60.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 43.1N 53.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 44.5N 47.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 46.9N 40.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 49.4N 32.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2016 51.9N 26.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 30.8N 55.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2016 30.8N 55.5W MODERATE 00UTC 30.08.2016 31.2N 55.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2016 31.6N 53.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 32.0N 52.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 33.0N 51.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 34.5N 48.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 36.1N 45.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 36.7N 40.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 36.6N 38.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 36.6N 36.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 37.5N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 128.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2016 17.7N 128.4W STRONG 00UTC 30.08.2016 18.0N 130.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 18.2N 133.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 18.3N 135.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.4N 138.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 18.6N 140.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 18.9N 142.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 19.1N 145.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 19.6N 147.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 20.1N 150.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 21.3N 153.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 22.8N 155.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 24.7N 158.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 144.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2016 18.1N 144.2W STRONG 00UTC 30.08.2016 19.0N 145.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 19.3N 147.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 19.0N 149.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.3N 151.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 17.5N 153.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 16.7N 154.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 16.1N 156.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 15.9N 157.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 15.8N 159.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 16.1N 160.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 16.7N 161.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 18.2N 162.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 23.8N 84.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2016 23.8N 84.3W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2016 23.5N 85.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 24.1N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 24.8N 87.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 25.5N 87.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 26.1N 87.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 27.2N 86.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 28.5N 85.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 30.3N 82.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 32.2N 78.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 34.5N 74.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 36.4N 72.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 38.0N 71.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 15.2N 105.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2016 16.0N 105.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 17.7N 107.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 18.8N 108.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 19.3N 109.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291618