000 WTNT80 EGRR 290420 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N 71.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2016 32.2N 71.5W WEAK 12UTC 29.08.2016 32.7N 73.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2016 33.8N 74.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 34.0N 75.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 34.3N 75.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 35.6N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 37.0N 69.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 38.8N 63.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 41.1N 57.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 42.5N 50.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 42.9N 43.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 44.2N 38.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 46.8N 31.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N 55.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2016 30.5N 55.1W MODERATE 12UTC 29.08.2016 30.8N 55.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2016 31.3N 55.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2016 31.9N 54.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 32.5N 52.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 33.9N 50.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 35.7N 47.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 37.4N 42.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 38.2N 38.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 38.3N 34.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 38.6N 31.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 39.5N 28.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 125.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2016 17.8N 125.6W STRONG 12UTC 29.08.2016 17.8N 128.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2016 18.2N 131.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 18.4N 133.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 18.6N 136.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.4N 138.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 18.6N 141.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 18.9N 143.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 19.3N 146.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 20.0N 149.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 20.8N 151.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 22.1N 154.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 23.4N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 142.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2016 17.1N 142.5W MODERATE 12UTC 29.08.2016 17.7N 144.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2016 18.1N 145.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 18.3N 147.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 18.2N 149.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 17.5N 151.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 16.5N 153.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 15.8N 154.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 15.3N 155.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 15.2N 156.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 15.5N 157.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 16.1N 158.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 17.3N 159.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 82.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2016 23.5N 82.3W WEAK 12UTC 29.08.2016 23.3N 84.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2016 23.8N 85.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2016 24.3N 86.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 25.0N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 25.8N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 26.7N 86.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 28.1N 85.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 29.1N 83.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 31.1N 80.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 32.9N 76.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 35.4N 70.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 37.5N 65.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.9N 127.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2016 12.4N 128.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 12.5N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 12.6N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 290420