000
WTNT80 EGRR 151617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.08.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.2N 142.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2016  13.3N 143.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2016  14.8N 145.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2016  15.3N 147.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2016  15.8N 150.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2016  16.6N 152.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2016  17.1N 155.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2016  17.8N 158.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2016  19.0N 161.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2016  20.0N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2016  20.5N 166.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2016  21.3N 168.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.9N  33.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2016  13.9N  33.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2016  15.6N  34.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2016  16.4N  36.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2016  16.5N  38.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2016  16.5N  39.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2016  16.6N  41.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2016  16.7N  43.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2016  17.5N  46.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2016  18.0N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151617