000 WTNT80 EGRR 111617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 10.5N 155.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.08.2016 10.5N 155.7W WEAK 00UTC 12.08.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.7N 140.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.08.2016 13.0N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2016 13.2N 142.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2016 13.4N 144.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2016 13.7N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2016 14.4N 148.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 13.0N 131.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2016 13.0N 131.0W WEAK 12UTC 16.08.2016 13.6N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2016 13.6N 131.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2016 13.2N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 111617