000 WTNT80 EGRR 060417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.08.2016 TROPICAL STORM EARL ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 95.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2016 18.9N 95.6W MODERATE 12UTC 06.08.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 147.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2016 22.0N 147.2W WEAK 12UTC 06.08.2016 22.0N 150.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM IVETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 132.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2016 15.6N 132.6W MODERATE 12UTC 06.08.2016 16.1N 134.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2016 16.7N 136.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2016 17.3N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2016 17.7N 140.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2016 18.0N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2016 17.8N 143.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 29.7N 73.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.08.2016 29.7N 73.6W WEAK 12UTC 10.08.2016 30.4N 74.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2016 31.3N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2016 31.9N 75.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2016 32.2N 75.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060417