000
WHXX01 KWBC 021846
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1846 UTC TUE AUG 2 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE EARL (AL052016) 20160802 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        160802  1800   160803  0600   160803  1800   160804  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.3N  80.8W   16.7N  84.2W   17.0N  87.1W   16.9N  89.4W
BAMD    16.3N  80.8W   16.4N  83.2W   16.6N  85.3W   17.0N  87.4W
BAMM    16.3N  80.8W   16.4N  83.5W   16.5N  86.0W   16.8N  88.2W
LBAR    16.3N  80.8W   16.5N  83.9W   16.8N  87.1W   17.4N  90.3W
SHIP        45KTS          49KTS          55KTS          63KTS
DSHP        45KTS          49KTS          55KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        160804  1800   160805  1800   160806  1800   160807  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.3N  91.4W   17.9N  94.5W   18.7N  97.2W   20.2N 100.3W
BAMD    17.6N  89.5W   18.4N  93.3W   18.6N  97.3W   18.8N 101.3W
BAMM    17.4N  90.3W   18.2N  94.0W   18.8N  97.9W   19.6N 101.6W
LBAR    18.1N  93.3W   20.4N  98.2W   22.4N 101.7W   19.7N 105.1W
SHIP        68KTS          73KTS          73KTS          77KTS
DSHP        35KTS          42KTS          31KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.3N LONCUR =  80.8W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  18KT
LATM12 =  16.3N LONM12 =  77.5W DIRM12 = 267DEG SPDM12 =  17KT
LATM24 =  16.3N LONM24 =  73.4W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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