000
WHXX01 KWBC 021500
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE AUG 2 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE EARL (AL052016) 20160802 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        160802  1200   160803  0000   160803  1200   160804  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.3N  78.8W   17.0N  82.5W   17.3N  85.8W   17.4N  88.5W
BAMD    16.3N  78.8W   16.7N  81.4W   17.0N  83.6W   17.4N  85.8W
BAMM    16.3N  78.8W   16.6N  81.9W   16.8N  84.5W   17.1N  87.0W
LBAR    16.3N  78.8W   16.7N  82.0W   17.1N  85.0W   17.8N  88.0W
SHIP        40KTS          43KTS          47KTS          56KTS
DSHP        40KTS          43KTS          47KTS          56KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        160804  1200   160805  1200   160806  1200   160807  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.3N  90.9W   17.6N  94.0W   18.3N  96.5W   19.8N  99.3W
BAMD    18.0N  88.0W   19.2N  92.1W   19.7N  96.5W   20.1N 101.0W
BAMM    17.5N  89.2W   18.4N  93.1W   19.1N  97.1W   19.9N 101.1W
LBAR    18.5N  90.8W   21.1N  95.6W   23.6N  98.9W   21.7N 100.4W
SHIP        64KTS          74KTS          76KTS          82KTS
DSHP        44KTS          37KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.3N LONCUR =  78.8W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  17KT
LATM12 =  16.5N LONM12 =  75.3W DIRM12 = 271DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  16.0N LONM24 =  71.7W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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