000
WTNT80 EGRR 010417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.08.2016

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 122.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.08.2016  16.2N 122.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.08.2016  17.0N 124.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2016  17.8N 126.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2016  18.9N 129.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2016  20.2N 132.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2016  21.1N 135.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2016  21.7N 138.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2016  22.2N 141.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2016  22.6N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2016  22.8N 148.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2016  22.9N 151.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 16.2N  80.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.08.2016  16.2N  80.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.08.2016  16.4N  83.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2016  16.5N  86.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2016  16.2N  88.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.1N 121.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.08.2016  13.1N 121.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.08.2016  13.6N 125.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2016  14.0N 127.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2016  14.2N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2016  14.4N 133.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2016  14.7N 135.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2016  14.9N 137.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2016  15.4N 139.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.8N  93.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.08.2016  13.8N  93.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.08.2016  14.7N  94.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2016  15.6N  96.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 16.7N 103.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.08.2016  16.7N 103.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.08.2016  17.0N 105.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010417