000
WTNT80 EGRR 211617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.07.2016

        TROPICAL STORM CELIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 25.9N 170.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.07.2016  25.9N 170.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DARBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 144.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.07.2016  19.0N 144.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 22.07.2016  18.4N 146.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.07.2016  18.0N 148.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.07.2016  18.1N 150.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2016  18.4N 152.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.07.2016  18.6N 154.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2016  20.2N 155.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.07.2016  20.5N 157.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2016  21.7N 158.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2016  23.7N 159.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2016  25.0N 161.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2016  27.2N 162.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2016  29.0N 163.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE    ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N 127.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.07.2016  20.2N 127.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 22.07.2016  20.8N 130.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.07.2016  22.0N 132.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.07.2016  23.6N 135.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.07.2016  25.3N 137.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.07.2016  26.5N 140.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 15.9N 105.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.07.2016  16.5N 106.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.07.2016  17.7N 109.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.07.2016  18.0N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.07.2016  18.1N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2016  18.6N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.07.2016  19.2N 114.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2016  20.0N 114.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2016  20.8N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2016  21.7N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211617