000
WHXX01 KMIA 171852
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1852 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE (EP062016) 20160717 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        160717  1800   160718  0600   160718  1800   160719  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N 112.1W   17.4N 114.4W   18.2N 116.7W   18.5N 119.0W
BAMD    16.4N 112.1W   16.7N 113.6W   17.2N 115.1W   17.7N 116.7W
BAMM    16.4N 112.1W   17.0N 113.8W   17.6N 115.7W   18.1N 117.6W
LBAR    16.4N 112.1W   16.9N 113.7W   17.6N 115.8W   18.4N 118.2W
SHIP        60KTS          68KTS          74KTS          77KTS
DSHP        60KTS          68KTS          74KTS          77KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        160719  1800   160720  1800   160721  1800   160722  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.4N 121.0W   17.8N 124.1W   18.8N 127.1W   21.7N 132.1W
BAMD    18.3N 118.4W   19.6N 122.6W   21.2N 127.9W   23.5N 133.3W
BAMM    18.5N 119.5W   19.4N 123.4W   20.8N 128.3W   23.0N 133.7W
LBAR    19.0N 120.8W   20.6N 126.2W   22.4N 131.0W   23.7N 133.5W
SHIP        80KTS          73KTS          62KTS          48KTS
DSHP        80KTS          73KTS          62KTS          48KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.4N LONCUR = 112.1W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  16.1N LONM12 = 110.7W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  15.8N LONM24 = 109.3W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  991MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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