000
WHXX01 KMIA 161846
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1846 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE (EP062016) 20160716 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        160716  1800   160717  0600   160717  1800   160718  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.8N 109.4W   16.9N 110.9W   18.1N 113.2W   18.9N 115.8W
BAMD    15.8N 109.4W   16.2N 110.5W   16.7N 111.7W   17.3N 112.9W
BAMM    15.8N 109.4W   16.3N 110.6W   17.0N 112.2W   17.7N 113.8W
LBAR    15.8N 109.4W   16.3N 110.7W   16.8N 112.5W   17.5N 114.6W
SHIP        45KTS          50KTS          57KTS          63KTS
DSHP        45KTS          50KTS          57KTS          63KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        160718  1800   160719  1800   160720  1800   160721  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N 118.4W   17.6N 122.0W   16.6N 121.9W   20.9N 124.3W
BAMD    18.1N 114.3W   19.8N 117.6W   21.7N 122.3W   23.8N 127.9W
BAMM    18.3N 115.4W   19.2N 118.8W   20.3N 123.1W   21.9N 128.3W
LBAR    18.4N 116.9W   20.0N 121.6W   21.1N 126.5W   22.4N 128.7W
SHIP        72KTS          80KTS          79KTS          68KTS
DSHP        72KTS          80KTS          79KTS          68KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.8N LONCUR = 109.4W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  15.3N LONM12 = 108.1W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  14.5N LONM24 = 106.8W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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