000
WTNT80 EGRR 100418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.07.2016

        TROPICAL STORM BLAS       ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 134.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.07.2016  21.1N 134.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.07.2016  21.4N 136.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2016  21.4N 138.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM CELIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 118.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.07.2016  14.5N 118.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 10.07.2016  14.7N 120.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2016  15.0N 123.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2016  15.0N 125.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2016  15.6N 127.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2016  16.2N 129.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2016  17.2N 131.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2016  18.6N 133.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2016  20.0N 135.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.07.2016  21.4N 137.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.07.2016  22.6N 139.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2016  22.8N 140.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2016  23.0N 142.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.2N 112.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2016  14.2N 112.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.07.2016  14.1N 114.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2016  14.0N 116.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2016  14.1N 118.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2016  14.4N 120.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2016  14.9N 123.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2016  15.1N 125.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2016  16.1N 127.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.0N 102.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.07.2016  13.0N 102.0W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100418