000
WTNT80 EGRR 070418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2016

             HURRICANE BLAS       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 125.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2016  15.4N 125.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.07.2016  16.1N 127.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2016  16.8N 129.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2016  17.6N 130.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2016  18.6N 132.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2016  19.5N 133.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2016  20.4N 135.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2016  21.0N 137.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2016  21.5N 139.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 109.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2016  11.7N 109.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.07.2016  12.2N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2016  12.1N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2016  12.2N 114.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2016  12.8N 116.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2016  13.7N 119.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2016  14.2N 121.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2016  14.4N 123.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2016  14.5N 126.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2016  15.1N 128.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2016  15.9N 130.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2016  17.1N 132.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2016  18.3N 134.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 35.5N  74.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2016  35.5N  72.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2016  36.7N  69.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2016  38.9N  64.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2016  41.7N  59.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2016  43.6N  53.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2016  45.6N  48.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2016  48.9N  43.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2016  50.5N  38.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2016  52.3N  26.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070418