000
WTNT80 EGRR 041617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.07.2016

        TROPICAL STORM AGATHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 127.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2016  18.5N 127.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.07.2016  19.3N 129.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2016  20.0N 131.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.07.2016  19.9N 133.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE BLAS       ANALYSED POSITION : 12.9N 113.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2016  12.9N 113.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 05.07.2016  13.9N 116.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2016  14.4N 119.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.07.2016  15.0N 121.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2016  15.6N 124.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2016  16.4N 126.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2016  17.1N 128.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2016  17.8N 130.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2016  18.6N 131.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2016  19.5N 132.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2016  20.3N 134.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2016  20.9N 135.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2016  21.4N 137.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.1N 116.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2016  12.0N 118.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.07.2016  12.7N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2016  13.8N 122.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2016  13.9N 124.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 041617