000 WTNT80 EGRR 301617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.06.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.6N 117.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.07.2016 13.9N 118.1W WEAK 12UTC 02.07.2016 14.8N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2016 15.8N 121.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2016 16.8N 123.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2016 17.6N 125.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2016 18.3N 127.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.07.2016 18.7N 129.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.07.2016 18.9N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2016 18.9N 133.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.07.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.7N 106.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.07.2016 12.7N 106.4W WEAK 00UTC 03.07.2016 13.3N 108.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2016 13.9N 110.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2016 14.3N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2016 14.5N 115.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.07.2016 14.7N 117.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.07.2016 14.5N 120.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2016 14.5N 122.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.07.2016 14.4N 125.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 10.5N 91.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.07.2016 10.8N 92.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 06.07.2016 11.1N 94.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301617