000
WTNT80 EGRR 060417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.06.2016

        TROPICAL STORM COLIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N  88.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.06.2016  23.5N  88.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.06.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.5N 122.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.06.2016  10.3N 123.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.06.2016  10.4N 124.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.06.2016  11.0N 124.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.06.2016  11.2N 124.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.06.2016  10.2N 123.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.06.2016   9.3N 122.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.06.2016   8.7N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.06.2016   9.1N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.06.2016   9.8N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.06.2016  10.8N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.06.2016  12.4N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 28.4N  86.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.06.2016  29.1N  85.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.06.2016  32.6N  80.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.06.2016  35.9N  72.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.06.2016  40.9N  63.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.06.2016  45.5N  55.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.06.2016  48.6N  49.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.06.2016  50.5N  46.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.06.2016  52.5N  38.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.06.2016  54.1N  34.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.06.2016  POST-TROPICAL


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060417