000 WTNT80 EGRR 180417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.05.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 31.6N 78.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.05.2016 31.6N 78.6W WEAK 00UTC 19.05.2016 33.1N 74.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.05.2016 34.8N 67.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.05.2016 37.1N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.05.2016 38.9N 53.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.05.2016 40.5N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.05.2016 42.3N 45.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.05.2016 42.7N 41.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 22.05.2016 42.0N 34.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.05.2016 42.3N 29.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.05.2016 42.0N 26.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.05.2016 39.7N 22.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 36.1N 73.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.05.2016 36.1N 73.8W WEAK 12UTC 22.05.2016 38.1N 68.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.05.2016 41.3N 62.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.05.2016 44.1N 57.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.05.2016 45.0N 52.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 180417