000
WTNT80 EGRR 020417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.03.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 27.8S  46.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.03.2016  28.0S  46.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.03.2016  29.5S  44.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.03.2016  30.3S  42.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.03.2016  33.8S  41.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.03.2016  36.9S  40.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.03.2016  39.9S  37.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.03.2016  43.8S  30.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.03.2016  50.1S  22.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.03.2016  54.7S  15.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020417