000 WTNT80 EGRR 050418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.02.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 34.4N 77.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.02.2016 36.1N 73.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.02.2016 43.0N 65.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.02.2016 48.3N 54.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.02.2016 53.6N 42.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.02.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 28.4N 78.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.02.2016 30.7N 76.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.02.2016 32.5N 72.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.02.2016 36.8N 67.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.02.2016 39.8N 61.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.02.2016 42.3N 53.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.02.2016 43.2N 46.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.02.2016 42.7N 39.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.02.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 31.4N 77.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.02.2016 31.4N 77.8W WEAK 00UTC 10.02.2016 36.9N 73.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.02.2016 41.2N 68.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.02.2016 45.5N 62.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050417