000
WTNT80 EGRR 160418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.01.2016

        TROPICAL STORM ALEX       ANALYSED POSITION : 45.0N  28.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.01.2016  45.0N  28.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 16.01.2016  53.3N  30.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.01.2016  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 25.9S  37.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.01.2016  27.1S  36.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.01.2016  28.9S  35.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.01.2016  30.6S  33.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.01.2016  33.4S  28.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.01.2016  38.1S  20.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160417