000 WTNT80 EGRR 150418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.01.2016 HURRICANE ALEX ANALYSED POSITION : 33.9N 27.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.01.2016 33.9N 27.9W STRONG 12UTC 15.01.2016 37.6N 27.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.01.2016 44.4N 28.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.01.2016 53.1N 31.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.01.2016 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALI ANALYSED POSITION : 1.2N 173.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.01.2016 1.2N 173.5W WEAK 12UTC 15.01.2016 0.4N 173.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.01.2016 0.5N 172.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.01.2016 0.3N 172.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.01.2016 0.7S 171.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.01.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 26.5S 36.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.01.2016 27.2S 36.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.01.2016 25.9S 36.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.01.2016 28.5S 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.01.2016 31.4S 32.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.01.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150418