000
WTNT80 EGRR 130418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.01.2016

             HURRICANE PALI       ANALYSED POSITION :  5.6N 170.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.01.2016   5.6N 170.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 13.01.2016   3.8N 170.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.01.2016   2.4N 171.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.01.2016   1.4N 171.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.01.2016   0.6N 171.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.01.2016   0.3S 171.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 32.1N  76.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.01.2016  34.4N  72.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.01.2016  39.8N  61.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.01.2016  43.6N  51.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130417