000
WTNT80 EGRR 101617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.01.2016

        TROPICAL STORM PALI       ANALYSED POSITION :  7.8N 174.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.01.2016   7.8N 174.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 11.01.2016   8.5N 174.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.01.2016   8.6N 174.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016   8.1N 173.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.01.2016   6.8N 172.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.01.2016   5.0N 172.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.01.2016   3.0N 172.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.01.2016   1.6N 173.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.01.2016   0.5N 173.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.01.2016   1.0S 173.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 25.9N  90.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.01.2016  26.8N  87.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.01.2016  28.9N  83.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.01.2016  33.2N  74.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.01.2016  37.1N  66.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101617