000
WTNT80 EGRR 071618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.01.2016

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C        ANALYSED POSITION :  4.1N 170.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.01.2016   4.1N 170.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.01.2016   4.5N 171.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.01.2016   6.4N 171.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.01.2016   7.2N 172.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016   7.5N 172.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.01.2016   7.8N 173.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.01.2016   7.9N 174.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.01.2016   7.9N 174.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.01.2016   7.7N 174.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016   6.7N 174.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.01.2016   5.4N 173.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.01.2016   4.5N 172.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.01.2016   3.5N 172.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 28.0N  46.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.01.2016  28.0N  46.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.01.2016  27.2N  42.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.01.2016  27.0N  38.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.01.2016  28.6N  34.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.01.2016  31.3N  33.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071618