000
WTNT80 EGRR 061618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.01.2016

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90Q        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1S  31.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER :

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.01.2016  21.1S  31.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 07.01.2016  22.6S  34.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.01.2016  23.5S  36.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.01.2016  24.8S  38.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.01.2016  27.8S  38.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 23.5N  78.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.01.2016  23.5N  78.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.01.2016  26.5N  75.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.01.2016  28.8N  73.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.01.2016  31.5N  70.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.01.2016  32.8N  66.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.01.2016  33.9N  61.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016  34.1N  57.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.01.2016  33.1N  54.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.01.2016  30.6N  51.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.01.2016  28.0N  47.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.01.2016  26.6N  42.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016  27.2N  37.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.01.2016  29.3N  34.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 :  1.8N 172.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.01.2016   2.5N 172.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.01.2016   4.0N 172.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.01.2016   5.3N 172.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.01.2016   7.0N 172.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016   6.9N 173.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.01.2016   7.2N 173.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.01.2016   7.5N 173.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.01.2016   7.5N 173.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.01.2016   7.0N 173.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016   5.9N 173.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.01.2016   4.3N 171.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 061618