000
WTNT80 EGRR 060418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.01.2016

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 19.5S  31.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.01.2016  19.5S  31.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.01.2016  20.9S  32.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.01.2016  21.4S  34.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.01.2016  22.1S  36.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.01.2016  23.4S  37.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.01.2016  26.3S  38.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.01.2016  28.8S  37.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 26.3N  75.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.01.2016  26.3N  75.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.01.2016  28.6N  73.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.01.2016  31.6N  70.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.01.2016  33.3N  67.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.01.2016  33.5N  63.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016  33.7N  60.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.01.2016  32.0N  57.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.01.2016  30.2N  53.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.01.2016  28.3N  50.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.01.2016  26.7N  47.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016  24.5N  44.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 :  1.4N 174.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.01.2016   1.9N 174.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.01.2016   3.6N 173.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.01.2016   5.0N 173.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.01.2016   6.1N 173.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.01.2016   6.7N 173.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.01.2016   6.4N 174.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.01.2016   6.3N 173.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.01.2016   6.1N 173.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.01.2016   5.4N 173.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.01.2016   4.2N 172.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060418