000
WTNT80 EGRR 301618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.12.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :  1.0N 174.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.12.2015   1.0N 174.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.12.2015   0.6N 175.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.12.2015   0.1S 175.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.01.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 24.7S  33.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.01.2016  24.7S  33.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.01.2016  24.4S  31.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.01.2016  24.1S  28.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.01.2016  23.9S  27.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.01.2016  24.2S  26.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.01.2016  25.2S  28.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 20.5S  36.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.01.2016  20.5S  36.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.01.2016  19.0S  35.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.01.2016  18.6S  33.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.01.2016  19.6S  32.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 301618