000
WTNT80 EGRR 101617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.12.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 28.5N  68.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.12.2015  28.5N  68.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.12.2015  30.7N  63.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.12.2015  32.7N  57.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.12.2015  33.5N  51.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.12.2015  33.0N  45.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.12.2015  32.2N  40.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.12.2015  33.1N  36.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.12.2015  34.7N  31.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 14.12.2015  37.0N  27.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.12.2015  40.8N  23.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.12.2015  45.8N  19.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.12.2015  49.4N  13.4W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.12.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101617