000
WTNT80 EGRR 230417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.11.2015

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N 119.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.11.2015  18.3N 119.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.11.2015  19.1N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.11.2015  19.2N 122.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 10.6N 102.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.11.2015  10.6N 102.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.11.2015  12.2N 104.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.11.2015  13.1N 106.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.11.2015  14.2N 107.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.11.2015  15.8N 107.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.11.2015  17.1N 108.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.11.2015  18.2N 108.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.11.2015  18.9N 109.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.11.2015  19.8N 110.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.11.2015  21.4N 111.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 230417